SUTRA Model – UPSC Prelims

SUTRA Model:
  • SUTRA is a mathematical model used for charting the trajectory of COVID-19 in the country.
  • SUTRA stands for Susceptible, Undetected, Tested (positive) and Removed Approach.
  • Parameters: The model uses three main parameters to predict the course of the pandemic:
    • Beta or contact rate: This measures how many people an infected person infects per day.
    • Reach: It is a measure of the exposure level of the population to the pandemic.
    • Epsilon: It is the ratio of detected and undetected cases.
  • Why in News?
    • This model failed to predict second wave of COVID.
    • Scientist are now calling this model flawed.
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