Context:
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Over 75% of districts in India are hotspots of extreme climate events such as cyclones, floods, droughts, heat waves and cold waves.
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World is heading for a temperature rise of over 3 degree Celsius in this century : UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2020.
Key Findings:
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The frequency, intensity, and unpredictability of extreme events have risen in recent decades.
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While India witnessed 250 extreme climate events in 35 years between 1970 and 2005, it recorded 310 such weather events in only 15 years since then.
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The current trend of catastrophic climate events results from a mere 0.6 degrees Celsius temperature rise in the last 100 years.
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India is already the 5th most vulnerable country globally in terms of extreme climate events, and it is all set to become the world’s flood capital.
Changing Pattern:
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Cyclones: After 2005, the yearly average number of districts affected by cyclones tripled and the cyclone frequency-doubled.
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Flood Events: The decade 2000-2009 showed a spike in extreme flood events and in associated flood events. Events associated with floods such as landslides, heavy rainfall, hailstorms, thunderstorms, and cloudbursts increased by over 20 times.
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Rainfall: While the number of rainy days during monsoon has decreased, single-day extreme rainfall events are increasing, leading to flooding.
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Droughts: The yearly average of drought-affected districts increased 13 times after 2005.
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Swapping of Nature of Extreme Events: Such as flood-prone areas becoming drought-prone and vice-versa, in over 40% of Indian districts.
Suggestions:
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Develop a Climate Risk Atlas to map critical vulnerabilities such as coasts, urban heat stress, water stress, and biodiversity collapse.
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Develop an Integrated Emergency Surveillance System to facilitate a systematic and sustained response to emergencies.
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Mainstream risk assessment at all levels, including localised, regional, sectoral, cross-sectoral, macro and micro-climatic level.
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Enhance adaptive and resilience capacity to climate-proof lives, livelihoods and investments.
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Increase the participatory engagement of all stakeholders in the risk assessment process.
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Integrate risk assessment into local, sub-national, and national level plans.